The NCAA tournament is here, and that means it’s once again time to bust out one of our favorite blogs, the Crime Bracket!
If you missed our bracket last year, we forecast the tournament field based on DUIs per capita. The state with the highest DUIs per capita were given the victory, and that gave us a Final Four of 3-seed Creighton, 10-seed Stanford, 10-seed Arizona State and 15-seed University of Milwaukee. Ultimately, 3-seed Creighton won the tournament.
This year, we decided to tweak the selection process a little bit. This year we advanced the college that had the highest rate of violent crime per student. Here’s a look at the data we used. For example, the University of Arkansas had 15 instances of violent crime at their Fayetteville campus, which boasts an enrollment of 21,405. That means 1 in 1,427 students at Arkansas can expect to be the victim of a violent crime.
So without further ado, here’s a look at the 2015 March Madness Violent Crime Bracket. (Note, if a school did not report it’s findings, it was not advanced in the bracket.
Although it’s unlikely that two 15-seeds will make the final four, it happened in the 2015 March Madness Violent Crime Bracket. Here’s a couple of insights from the bracket:
- 16-seed Hampton knocks off top-seeded Kentucky in round 1, with a crime ratio of 1:1,050 to 1:3,388.
- Coastal Carolina pulled off a similar upset against Wisconsin, with a crime ratio of 1:1,090 to 1:3,515.
- The Final Four features 9-seed LSU, 11-seed UCLA, 15-seed New Mexico State and 15-seed Texas Southern.
- 15-seed Texas Southern wins the tournament, and the title as the most dangerous college campus for violent crime. 1 in 682 students at Texas Southern were the victims of violent crime at the most recent survey. Texas Southern edged out the other finalist, UCLA, which boasts a violent crime probability of 1 in 953.
Tune into March Madness to see how our bracket compares to the actual results!
